Ensemble forecasts combine diverse independent team forecasts into one forecast.Trends in numbers of future reported deaths are uncertain or predicted to remain stable in the other states and territories. The state- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that over the next 4 weeks, the number of newly reported deaths per week will likely decrease in 14 jurisdictions, which are indicated in the forecast plots below.The national ensemble predicts that a total of 734,000 to 756,000 COVID-19 deaths will be reported by this date. This week’s national ensemble predicts that the number of newly reported COVID-19 deaths will likely decrease over the next 4 weeks, with 5,100 to 15,100 new deaths likely reported in the week ending October 30, 2021.Interpretation of Forecasts of New and Total Deaths
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